00Read later0Read MoreAuthor Talks: Why recessions aren’t as predictable as you thinkMcKinsey Insights & Publications·6 months ago#W8WfE1TA#mckinsey#shocks#recessions#cyclical#random+3 more🧰Tag tools✨Add tagAre recessions cyclical—or just random shocks in disguise? Tyler Goodspeed, ExxonMobil’s chief economist, challenges long-held assumptions, arguing downturns stem from unexpected shocks, not cycles.15s