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Rare Super El Niño Gains Strength: Forecasts Point to Extreme Weather and Record Heat

WebProNews·Lucas Greene·4 months ago
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Forecasters now see an 82% chance that El Niño will take hold by the end of July. The odds of it becoming a strong or very strong event have climbed to 67%. That informal label, super El Niño, signals Pacific sea surface temperatures in the key Niño 3.4 region rising at least 2 degrees Celsius above average. But. The numbers keep shifting upward. Last month the chance of a very strong event sat lower. Now it approaches one in three for peak months between November and January. Some computer models run by the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts hint at anomalies exceeding 3 degrees Celsius late this year. That would rival or top the 1877 and 2015-16 benchmarks. Fortune reported the rapid heating in recent months has pushed those probabilities higher. Brian K. Sullivan noted the phenomenon originates in the Pacific yet ripples across continents. Trade winds weaken. Warm water spreads eastward. Atmospheric patterns bend. Rain falls where it usually does not. Dryness settles elsewhere.…

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