October 22, 2026 - 9:01 pm

It’s been said many times that a president’s job approval rating is one of the most important predictors of how his party will perform in midterm elections. President Donald Trump’s rating is very low at the moment — 38.8 percent approval versus 60.1 percent disapproval in the RealClearPolitics average of polls — which does not bode well for Republicans in November. But in what way is it low? With what groups of voters does the president have a particular problem? A new poll from Fox News gives some answers.

First, the poll found Trump’s overall job approval rating to be below the RCP average — 36 percent. A rating doesn’t get that low without being pretty depressed among many component groups.

Start with the places Trump is doing well. The Fox poll identified seven groups with whom the president has a job approval rating of 50 percent or higher. First, there are Republicans (76 percent approval). Then MAGA Republicans (95 percent). Then conservatives (64 percent).…