Jensen Huang, chief executive officer of Nvidia Corp., during the launch of the Sferical One AI supercomputer in Stockholm, Sweden, on Thursday, Oct. 15, 2026.

Erik Flyg | Bloomberg | Getty Images

Nvidia 's board is investigating CEO Jensen Huang , citing recent reports that he's been targeted by a "foreign intelligence effort," but traders on prediction markets think it's unlikely he'll be ousted as chief.

On Sunday, Huang admitted to an extramarital affair with a woman who U.S. intelligence officials — according to The New York Times – say is a spy for China's Ministry of State Security.

On Kalshi , speculators say there's just a 17% chance Huang is gone by 2027. Those odds rise to 30% by 2028, and 35% by 2029. However, they think there is a 75% probability that Huang will depart by 2031.

Contracts on Huang's departure on Kalshi are resolved using information from Bloomberg.

On Polymarket , speculators place just one-in-four odds that Huang resigns or is forced out by the end of March 2027.…