Indiana remains favored against USC, but ESPN's latest projections have shifted ahead of Saturday's matchup in Bloomington.

Indiana Head Coach Curt Cignetti during the Indiana versus Minnesota football game at Memorial Stadium on Saturday, Oct. 31, 2026. | USA TODAY Network via Reuters Connect

Indiana football had a week off to rest, regroup and prepare for the final stretch of the regular season. ESPN's computers, meanwhile, have become a little less confident in the Hoosiers.

Indiana returns to action Saturday against USC in a top-20 showdown at Memorial Stadium. Both teams are coming off bye weeks, but the Trojans enter Bloomington riding the momentum of a win over Ohio State.

While Indiana remains the favorite, ESPN's latest Football Power Index projections suggest Saturday's matchup could be competitive.

ESPN FPI favors Indiana, but win probability drops

Indiana enters the week ranked No. 8 nationally in ESPN's FPI, while USC checks in at No.…