In recent weeks, Oklahoma has looked like a team that wins with defense and survives with everything else. The Sooners have scored 14 points or fewer in four of their six games, and that tells you where Mississippi State can attack this weekend at Davis Wade Stadium.

Oklahoma opened as a 2.5-point road favorite with a total of 45.5, which says the market expects a grinder. Here are three bold predictions for the Bulldogs against the Sooners.

Oklahoma's John Mateer (10) scrambles in the fourth quarter of the college football game between the University of Oklahoma Sooners (OU) and the Kentucky Wildcats at Gaylord Family — Oklahoma Memorial Stadium in Norman, Okla., Saturday, Oct., 17, 2026. | USA TODAY Network via Reuters Connect

Mississippi State holds John Mateer and Oklahoma under 17 points

Outside of a 51-0 win over UTEP and a 27-24 upset of Texas, Oklahoma’s offense has been stuck in the mud.…