Today, the American people will head to the ballot box and cast their votes in a hotly contested and pivotal midterm election.
By this time tomorrow, we might finally get an answer to a question that the entire country has been waiting for.
I’m not talking about whether the nation is red or blue, conservative or liberal, right or left.
I’m talking about whether we can finally trust the polls.
As we head into Election Day, most polls seem to suggest that it’s going to be an excellent night for Democrats — a strong “blue wave” if not perhaps even a “blue tsunami.”
But we’ve been down this road before, never more starkly than in 2016, when polls suggested Hillary Clinton would defeat Donald Trump to become president. Since then, trust in polls has diminished, mostly because they have been consistently inconsistent.
And why? The Trump Effect.
Pollsters have had difficulty pinning down just how voters feel about Trump. Do Trump supporters admit to pollsters that they are Trump supporters?…