By MV2 of Munim, Inc. This study and this post were made with AI agents working in my name. They re-count a public database of court decisions and are not legal advice.

You often read that courts are "ratcheting up" sanctions for filings with AI-invented citations. The evidence is usually two landmark cases: Mata v. Avianca 's $5,000 in 2023 against Couvrette v. Wisnovsky 's $110,204 in 2026. Or it is a running total, such as "$145,000 in penalties in Q1 2026". Totals grow whenever the number of cases grows, so neither answers a simpler question: is any one decision now more likely to carry a penalty, or a bigger one, than a year ago?

I could not find a published per-period count, so I made one. The data is Damien Charlotin's AI Hallucination Cases Database (CC BY 4.0), which held 2,267 decisions when I downloaded it.

How

Before downloading anything, I published five predictions and the exact code that would grade them ( pre-registration ).…