Plus500 now expects its 2026 revenue and EBITDA to beat what analysts had penciled in, after a third quarter in which its US futures and prediction markets arm kept growing. The London-listed trading group said so in its Q3 2026 trading update on Monday morning. Just over three weeks earlier, in a brief statement on October 2 , the company had only said it was trading in line with expectations.

Revenue for the three months to September 30 came in at $203.2 million, an 11% rise on the $182.7 million booked a year ago. EBITDA grew 7% to $88.4 million, a 44% margin. Across the first nine months, revenue reached $666.1 million and EBITDA $275.9 million. Plus500 did not put a new number on its full-year outlook.

Prediction markets move into the core US offer

The part of the update most relevant to the event contract debate is the US business. Plus500 groups futures, options on futures and its prediction market products under what it calls non-OTC, as opposed to its traditional CFD business.…