The Poll of Polls placed the DMK at 112–129 seats, the AIADMK at 86–103, TVK at 13–19 and others at 1–5. (File Photos)

3 min read Chennai Apr 29, 2026 08:14 PM IST First published on: Apr 29, 2026 at 08:14 PM IST

Most exit polls released on Wednesday evening predicted an edge for the ruling DMK-led alliance, while two polls projected an AIADMK comeback. Vijay’s Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) has emerged as the most uncertain variable in the contest. The halfway mark in the Tamil Nadu Assembly is 118 seats.

The Poll of Polls placed the DMK at 112–129 seats, the AIADMK at 86–103, TVK at 13–19 and others at 1–5, suggesting a close contest in which the ruling alliance may still have a route to majority, but without the sweep projected by some individual surveys.

The widest pro-DMK projection came from Praja Poll, which gave the ruling side 148–168 seats and the AIADMK 61–81.…