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Philippines: Robredo–Tulfo tandem overtakes Duterte–Marcos in first hypothetical 2028 matchup: Poll
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Philippines: Robredo–Tulfo tandem overtakes Duterte–Marcos in first hypothetical 2028 matchup: Poll

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OCTA survey shows majority of Filipinos won't vote along tribal lines

Last updated: May 13, 2026 | 20:37

OCTA Research

Manila: A "hypothetical" 2028 presidential race is already reshaping the political conversation two years ahead of the campaign season.

An OCTA Research "Tugon ng Masa" ("People's Response") survey conducted March 19–25 shows a potential tandem of Leni Robredo and Raffy Tulfo drawing 44% voter preference — edging out the 40% received by a pairing of Sara Duterte and Imee Marcos .

Another 16% of respondents said they were undecided.

Survey method

The survey asked: “If the May 2028 elections were to be held today and the following are the tandems for president and vice president, which tandem would you vote for?”

It used face-to-face interviews with 1,200 probability-based respondents aged 18 and above and carries a ±3% margin of error at a 95% confidence level.

OCTA cautioned that the 4-point lead should be interpreted carefully given the margin of error.

Still, the firm noted that…

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